Not trapped in Iran

The US avoided a quagmire in the Gulf, but the peace agreement is not ideal. America needs a long-term plan for the region, and China The issue of the peace agreement between the United States and Iran is full of traps and snares. It has pitfalls that could create problems in the region for America and […]

Trump or Prevost? The US and the world

The President wants America Great Again; the Pope wants liberty and care for the poor for the whole world. The complex intra-religious relationships between the two dreams The real beginning is with Rerum Novarum, the encyclical that Leo XIII (the predecessor of Leo XIV) issued in 1891. In 1891, the Church had lost the Papal […]

Iran conundrums and China’s Bets

Tehran has not lost, but neither has it won. The new phase of reconstruction will be delicate, with divided leadership. Russia could be crumbling, and China needs to pick up the pieces, but what? The peace announcement about the war between the US and Iran marks a new strategic phase for both countries. Iran is […]

Ukraine’s Quiet Turning Point

Kyiv’s military progress against Russia is changing a global political calculus, and Europe will never be the same. America needs to deal with it. Something significant is happening in Ukraine, and it might have far-reaching implications not only in Europe but also in Asia. After more than three years of grinding war, Ukraine is gaining […]

Out of the North Korea Trap?

Almost 80 years ago, Pyongyang drowned Mao’s grand dreams. Will it now boost Xi’s? The Chinese president’s trip has impossible expectations: to begin to stem the Gordian knot of the regional arms race. [update: just ahead of China’s presidential visit, North Korea announces that its nuclear program is “irreversible.”] Chinese President Xi Jinping’s upcoming visit […]

MAGA and its China Troubles

The US upsets its old friends, but China doesn’t win new ones. They’re parallel weaknesses, with America having the upper hand, but things could turn around if Beijing finds its compass. Washington needs more stable ties. It’s still unclear how the US wants to reconcile its new face and posture at home and abroad. The […]

Wages of Epidemic

If short- and long-term actions are not taken, perceptions of past US mismanagement of COVID and of China’s rising trade surplus could result in a volatile combination in a few years. COVID’s failure The year 2020 may have been crucial for US-China relations. Indeed, contrary to what Beijing expected at the onset of COVID, America […]