The Court and the King

Something seems to be stirring in Washington, though it’s hard to say what or where it’s headed. The recent Supreme Court ruling that President Trump lacked the authority and jurisidiction to impose tariffs through executive orders without congressional approval could be a sign of this change. The internal debate between Justices Gorsuch (who concurred) and […]

Greenland or Greenbacks

The twin controversies about the northern island and the FED could undermine the dollar and cast a shadow on the April summit with China. There is no formal link between the two. Yet they are connected in time – the crisis over Greenland, the island that US President Donald Trump wants for America, and the […]

Truths on Venezuela

What is happening in Venezuela may have momentous consequences for China. On the eve of a critical Trump-Xi summit, Beijing may need to confront reality differently. The prestigious Beijing publisher Sanlian Shudian recently reprinted Mao Haijian’s 2019 book on the Opium War, The Collapse of the Celestial Court[1]. According to the book, in the 19th […]

Xi’s Lead over Trump?

The upcoming US-China summit in Korea will be the first of its kind, with the PRC holding a strategic advantage over the US. How did Xi consolidate power internally, and what are his risks? This is a reprint of an essay on the topic from 30 months ago. It will be the sixth meeting between […]

Parades and Charades at Tiananmen

Truth and smoke, mirrors and substance surrounding the recent twin events in China: the SCO meeting and the military showcase. Beijing claimed a new friendship with India and a world-class army. The overall message is one of defiance toward America.  On September 3, with a historic military parade in Beijing, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed […]

Trump vs Moriarty Putin

Fissures and uncertainties with friends and allies, an ongoing degrading campaign against the US president, are undermining 80 years of American power. China is benefiting from it, but it should be prudent. India may become a significant and unexpected complication in US President Donald Trump’s efforts to secure a peace deal on Ukraine, with even […]

US: Church, Nation, and Pope Leo

The conclave that led to the election of Pope Leo XIV was more geopolitical than its participants were willing to admit. It also demonstrated that the Catholic Church is capable of making timely decisions in response to global emergencies when taking a stand within a world order undergoing profound transformation, if not outright disintegration. The […]