China’s production is in a tough spot, but it won’t collapse, and possibly not even change. The impact is unevenly spread, and Beijing is quite happy with it. After the real estate sector, the auto sector, the largest industry in the country and the world, shows signs of an impending collapse. Meanwhile, the European Chamber […]
China’s Reverse Reagan
It is a very different Cold War. China could believe it can win without firing a shot—just as the US did with the USSR forty years ago. But it’s tricky; the US has the ball in its court. Here is a picture in four quadrants. Military Capacity and Costs Two separate questions are troubling America […]
First Notes on Geo-Philosophy
Ancient Roman and Ancient Chinese Foundations. “We think in relation to our geographical and historical contexts. Philosophy allows us to address the historical issues before us clearly and thoroughly.” (Speech at the First World History Frontiers Forum, organized by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, September 12, Beijing) The differences between the ancient Chinese state […]
Intentions and Attack
Israeli bombing of Hamas, Poland shooting Russian drones, came days after China flexed its muscles in an unprecedented military parade in Beijing. It’s unclear whether it’s all accidental or part of a complex game of chess. The September 9th Israeli strike against Hamas sends a clear political message – Israel will go to any lengths […]
Parades and Charades at Tiananmen
Truth and smoke, mirrors and substance surrounding the recent twin events in China: the SCO meeting and the military showcase. Beijing claimed a new friendship with India and a world-class army. The overall message is one of defiance toward America. On September 3, with a historic military parade in Beijing, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed […]
Russia’s play of Nixon in reverse
The thaw between China and India in Beijing grants Russia a major political victory, mainly delivered by the US’s fumbling and mismanagement. America needs to act fast and accurately to address the situation. In 1972, Nixon’s trip to China didn’t end the Vietnam War, but it offset the political debacle there and put a different […]
Restart Italy’s Lab
The peninsula is at a crossroads, swamped by a disinformation campaign that also hits every Western country. Its political unity is at stake. If it shatters, many other nations could follow. The history of Italy as a political entity can be divided into two 80-year periods. The first starts with its unification. Italy was formed […]



