Ukraine, Estonia, and Moldova: Religious Enemy Within

A law regulating the presence and activities of the Orthodox Church linked to the Moscow Patriarchate is already in force in Ukraine, under discussion in the Supreme Court in Estonia, and planned and feared in Moldova. Three years of war with Russia have made such a law acceptable in Ukraine. The theoretical danger of invasion […]

New Poland, New Church

The Polish Catholic Church has a special place in modern global history, as it played a significant role in shaking the Soviet system. Poland remains crucial as the political and logistical leading supporter of Ukraine in its war effort against Russia. Still the direction of this Church, which makes so much of its national identity, […]

Uninsured EU Far Right

Is America’s recent fascination with the European far right misconstrued and risky for the US? The United States has made similar mistakes before; now might be the time to be more cautious. In 2011, I was in Washington when a well-known geopolitics expert of Jewish descent told me about America’s rising confidence in Egypt’s Muslim […]

Ukrainian Turning Oil Point

The US might find a silver lining in Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities by boosting the American oil industry. However, Moscow could retaliate with hybrid strategies that may destabilize some EU countries, like Italy.  Is it a global market game changer? If Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities continue and escalate, Moscow could lose […]

Ukrainian war in the Orthodox Church

The Ukrainian war is breaking apart the whole body of the Orthodox Church, not only the Russian one. The Orthodox Church has trouble staying united; this might have long-term consequences for the body of Christianity. The non-autocephalous Ukrainian Church under Metropolitan Onufriy has responded negatively to the injunction from the “State Service for Ethnopolitics and […]

China’s Ukrainian Trap

Ukraine is Beijing’s biggest quagmire, and there is no easy way out. A Russian victory is unlikely, and a prolonged war would bleed China politically and economically—unless the Western political front collapses, mesmerized by its ghosts. But then it’d be a different story. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi reportedly told the EU’s top diplomat on […]

Is Putin a loser?

Some 140 million people in Russia need two things to “win” the war 1. support from their allies, and 2. the US stopping its backing of 30 million Ukrainians. It shows that Moscow is totally broke. Washington’s decision to halt some shipments of critical weapons to Ukraine is causing concern among Kyiv and US allies […]