America’s small and big mistakes pave the way for China’s rise as leader of a new multipolar world. Clumsiness in European politics could spin all out of control. Will Trump rethink? After the AfD victory in Saxony-Anhalt, the loudest noise was French radical-right leader Marine Le Pen’s silence. She may fear that the AfD scares […]
Beijing may think the US order is gone, and the world will descend into chaos for decades. Still, America may be entering a new phase, and some calculations could be wrong. Beijing may believe that Donald Trump’s 2016 election and his return to office eight years later are not accidents but part of a deeper […]
Many are working for peace in the ongoing conflicts, and feasible compromises should be achievable, because everybody is tired of war. But will any ceasefires last? “The lovers’ faith is like the Arabian phoenix — everyone says it exists, no one knows where,” the Italian poet Metastasio sang, in verses that come back to mind […]
In Israel, the first elections for the new Knesset following the events of October 7, 2023 are a direct expression of a national post-traumatic condition and carry extraordinary political and historical significance. As the country prepares to vote on October 27, one fundamental question confronts Israeli voters: Was the Hamas massacre an isolated event, or […]
Hormuz is a wrench in the global energy mechanism. It can’t break the global system, but it could very well break Iran. America has a new deadline: May 10th, when President Donald Trump said he will be in Beijing. By that date, the war in Iran may or may not be over. If it is […]
The potential loss of Orban in Hungary could trigger a series of events that might alter the continent. On April 13, the day after the Hungarian parliamentary elections, Europe could turn a new page. Less than two weeks before the vote, the opposition to Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, led by the Tisza Party, is clearly […]
In a nutshell, the challenges about China are the same as they were two decades ago. The US got it wrong then can it get it right now? Plus, today, Beijing has its domestic issues to solve with or without America. It’s one of the rarest events in history – its repetition a generation later. […]
