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A Neoclassical Solution for China

The Party Plenum took inspiration from ancient philosophers to solve its modernization drive. It is a bold and ambitious move that could change the country and the world. Will it work? Last week, the 2024 Party Plenum issued its decisions, concentrating on the economy[i]. The plan, in a nutshell, was to unify the internal market, […]

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The PLA Needs Democracy to Fight

China’s failures to reform the army may lie deep in the ancient military mindset that doesn’t fit modern requirements. Can the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) fight? And in case, how would they fight? They had the human waves in Korea, and they advised the Vietnamese on guerrilla warfare, but how would they perform in a […]

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Xi’s PLA and Party Strategy Before the Plenum

China military reform and its strategy

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China’s Unsustainable Surplus

Beijing is operating a trade model that could bust China and the rest of the world, either now or in the coming years. A vital party plenum in July might address the issue, but how? The Future In 2032, Wall Street crashed, and the dollar collapsed. The US trade deficit with China had ballooned to […]

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China’s Rise, Missed Opportunities, Knots and Western New Nationalism

Whether peaceful or not, a country’s rise is based on being prepared and seizing opportunities. It is something China has missed in the past 20 years. Now, it faces the prospect that its rise will not be peaceful and could fail altogether if significant changes are not made. It’s not Xi Jinping’s fault; he alone […]

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Derisking and Notes on a New “Telegram” on China

With China, the US may have a third way between being defeated and collapsing or winning a hot war. It can set its own global BRI We are at a moment when “derisking” with China is happening, some kind of economic “decoupling” doesn’t seem far behind, and Cold War II is spreading its wings. Yet, […]

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Santa Sede-Cina: complessità e importanza

Le aperture Il convegno di ieri all’università Urbaniana di Roma sul centenario del Concilium Sinense di Shanghai del 1924 ha mostrato con chiarezza, una rara volta, l’estrema complessità del rapporto storico tra Santa Sede e Cina. I rappresentanti della Santa Sede e quelli venuti dalla Repubblica popolare cinese hanno infatti difficoltà e distanze su almeno […]