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US Rhetoric of Self-Destruction?

A general problem in these American elections is that the climate of rhetorical violence and the spread of conspiracy theories is a double-edged sword. Whoever uses it will also suffer from it, and unfortunately, the attempt on former President Donald Trump and the very bizarre interpretations given in the heat of the moment—and that will […]

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A Pandora’s Box for the Supreme Court

The ruling introduced the unprecedented principle that any US President can legally subvert the institutions. It has changed the US and the terms of its competition with Russia and China. Did the Supreme Court ruling open a Pandora’s box for the United States and the world? Looking at it from Rome it’s all very puzzling […]

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Derisking and Notes on a New “Telegram” on China

With China, the US may have a third way between being defeated and collapsing or winning a hot war. It can set its own global BRI We are at a moment when “derisking” with China is happening, some kind of economic “decoupling” doesn’t seem far behind, and Cold War II is spreading its wings. Yet, […]

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Trade War over China

A trade war is looming. It could be the largest since the start of post-Cold War globalization and potentially one of the largest ever. The waste in its wake could far outstrip the devastation of ongoing conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East and could change the planet forever, starting a second Cold War. On […]

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China and Trump’s MALA (Make America Little Again)

China’s historical troubles adapting to global trade could merge with Trump’s agenda to reshape America into a highly volatile mix. One of China’s historical problems has been its integration into the global economic trading system, which emerged after the discovery of the American continent in the 15th century. The first encounter was between the Spanish […]

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American 80 Years Jinx?

Does America need an exorcism? There is indeed an 80-year pattern in American history that has global implications. Every eight decades, the US faces an existential internal crisis that is overcome with war. First, 1781 The Union itself started with such turmoil. The 1776-1883 Revolutionary War began as an effort to wrest the 13 colonies […]

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Bidening on America

Many Americans feel broken, and people are split on immigration and very divisive issues like gender or abortion and go for Trump. His victory in Iowa is proof of this. But the country is doing better than ever. A belief crisis blinds many. The U.S. needs to restore its cultural unity, starting with accepting the […]