China is fully prepared to confront the United States, ultimately leading to a possible global financial collapse. With Covid, it had almost a rehearsal of a war economy. The USA apparently isn’t, and perhaps it doesn’t have a plan B other than talks. America has upended its system and network of alliances, irritated allies and […]
Beijing is confident because it has achieved several successes in recent months and relies on the US’s persistence in making mistakes. Still, America remains much stronger. Will it get it right and alter the course of history? There are three aspects to the US-China issue: short-term, medium-term, and long-term. In the short term, China has […]
Is America’s recent fascination with the European far right misconstrued and risky for the US? The United States has made similar mistakes before; now might be the time to be more cautious. In 2011, I was in Washington when a well-known geopolitics expert of Jewish descent told me about America’s rising confidence in Egypt’s Muslim […]
The Gaza agreement that Trump announced in Washington may be tricky. However, it calls on all major Islamic countries to support it and excludes Russia and China. It could mark the start of a new Pax Americana. The conflict in the Middle East may be coming to an end. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu backed […]
The old Western Empires fell to a new Western order – modern liberalism. Now, they are rising from the ashes, threatening liberalism. The US may be tempted to become an empire too, but can it win when its adversaries are better at it? And can modernity survive without liberalism? In 1918, three empires—the Holy Roman, […]
The US might find a silver lining in Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities by boosting the American oil industry. However, Moscow could retaliate with hybrid strategies that may destabilize some EU countries, like Italy. Is it a global market game changer? If Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities continue and escalate, Moscow could lose […]
Antisemitism is rising and could tip the scales among Israel’s old friends and allies. The answer could be to look beyond Gaza and think of a future for ordinary Palestinians. Israeli popularity in Europe and the West is rapidly slipping. Old friends, including Australia, Britain, Canada, and France, will recognize a Palestinian state. The United […]
