ME Peace without China or Russia

The Gaza agreement that Trump announced in Washington may be tricky. However, it calls on all major Islamic countries to support it and excludes Russia and China. It could mark the start of a new Pax Americana. The conflict in the Middle East may be coming to an end. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu backed […]

Empires Strike Back

The old Western Empires fell to a new Western order – modern liberalism. Now, they are rising from the ashes, threatening liberalism. The US may be tempted to become an empire too, but can it win when its adversaries are better at it? And can modernity survive without liberalism? In 1918, three empires—the Holy Roman, […]

Ukrainian Turning Oil Point

The US might find a silver lining in Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities by boosting the American oil industry. However, Moscow could retaliate with hybrid strategies that may destabilize some EU countries, like Italy.  Is it a global market game changer? If Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities continue and escalate, Moscow could lose […]

The US-China fire-sale of Asia?

Marco Mayer discusses it with Francesco Sisci. (adapted from Starmag Italian version) It’s the aftermath of a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping that both sides described as positive, and the night before a bilateral meeting scheduled for October that is expected to yield some results for both. In […]

American Nightmare

The murder of Minnesota legislator Melissa Hortman and her husband, the attempted murder of Minnesota State Senator John Hofman, the arson attack on the home of Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, the attack on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta which resulted in the death of a police officer, the murder of Charlie […]

China’s Reverse Reagan

It is a very different Cold War. China could believe it can win without firing a shot—just as the US did with the USSR forty years ago. But it’s tricky; the US has the ball in its court. Here is a picture in four quadrants. Military Capacity and Costs Two separate questions are troubling America […]

Intentions and Attack

Israeli bombing of Hamas, Poland shooting Russian drones, came days after China flexed its muscles in an unprecedented military parade in Beijing. It’s unclear whether it’s all accidental or part of a complex game of chess. The September 9th Israeli strike against Hamas sends a clear political message – Israel will go to any lengths […]