FEATURED

China’s Defiant Army

(recast with updates) The PLA’s chest-thumping in Europe and America after NATO’s claims may hide the impact of the recent military purge. Military, not economy, could dominate the next Party plenum. China defiantly called on military drills with Russia, a nation at war in Ukraine, after NATO called Beijing “enabler” of Moscow’s war effort and […]

FEATURED

The PLA Needs Democracy to Fight

China’s failures to reform the army may lie deep in the ancient military mindset that doesn’t fit modern requirements. Can the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) fight? And in case, how would they fight? They had the human waves in Korea, and they advised the Vietnamese on guerrilla warfare, but how would they perform in a […]

FEATURED

Xi’s PLA and Party Strategy Before the Plenum

China military reform and its strategy

FEATURED

China’s Unsustainable Surplus

Beijing is operating a trade model that could bust China and the rest of the world, either now or in the coming years. A vital party plenum in July might address the issue, but how? The Future In 2032, Wall Street crashed, and the dollar collapsed. The US trade deficit with China had ballooned to […]

FEATURED

China’s Rise, Missed Opportunities, Knots and Western New Nationalism

Whether peaceful or not, a country’s rise is based on being prepared and seizing opportunities. It is something China has missed in the past 20 years. Now, it faces the prospect that its rise will not be peaceful and could fail altogether if significant changes are not made. It’s not Xi Jinping’s fault; he alone […]

FEATURED

Derisking and Notes on a New “Telegram” on China

With China, the US may have a third way between being defeated and collapsing or winning a hot war. It can set its own global BRI We are at a moment when “derisking” with China is happening, some kind of economic “decoupling” doesn’t seem far behind, and Cold War II is spreading its wings. Yet, […]

FEATURED

Santa Sede-Cina: complessità e importanza

Le aperture Il convegno di ieri all’università Urbaniana di Roma sul centenario del Concilium Sinense di Shanghai del 1924 ha mostrato con chiarezza, una rara volta, l’estrema complessità del rapporto storico tra Santa Sede e Cina. I rappresentanti della Santa Sede e quelli venuti dalla Repubblica popolare cinese hanno infatti difficoltà e distanze su almeno […]