The perception abroad, and not only in Western countries, is that often China is a threat. Yet, many have a hard time pinpointing why it is so and, thus, what kind of threat China is. China has no vaunted goal of Hitlerian global conquest, nor does it have the old Soviet ambitions for universal communist […]
You say Taiwan; I say Korea
In theory, it is a peninsula, but actually, for all practical purposes, it is an island. South Korea is separated from the rest of the Asian continent by its intractable half-brother to the North, making any land contact with its neighbors impossible. The gap between the reality (being an island) and the theoretical aspiration (being […]
China long term advantages
USA-China Mirrors What will work better between USA and China, short-term economic cycles or long-term systemic assets or baggage? The picture may look not so clear if seen from Beijing. Beijing has just launched a whole array of measures aimed at compensating for lackluster growth at the beginning of the year, and its main thrust […]
Saudi-Iran in Chinese sauce
Last week’s deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia brokered by China is a significant success for Beijing, and it could as well change the shape of the Middle East. Still, it’s not clear in which direction it could spin. It may bring benefits to everybody, or it might also increase conflict in the region. The […]
US strategy and Qin Gang’s loss
The United States, after World War II, rebuilt Europe, Japan and South Korea, creating new vibrant states that were not American “colonies”. They had a dialectic relationship with America that was not devoid of friction. A similar attempt to rebuild the Middle East and Central Asia starting in 2004 after the War on Terror failed […]
Triangle impossible, India-China-US, and a different Silk Road
Russia’s failure in its invasion of Ukraine has weakened Moscow’s old ties with India, for decades a bedrock of Indian foreign relations, and brought to the fore the most complicated geopolitical puzzle of the “new Cold War” — between India, China, and the United States. New Delhi is shifting its position between the other two, […]
Chinese Balloons and US Alchemic Leadership
“The political fracas is already underway in Washington. Republicans claim the Biden administration showed weakness in allowing the balloon to enter the US. Airspace. Officials counter that the previous administration, under President Donald Trump, didn’t react to several similar missions over US states and territories. Yet those previous incursions didn’t go on for so long, or reach so far […]